风险与未来的经济学与财政

　　This book uses real-world examples to show how individual and collective risks can be blended and treated in a reliable decision-making framework that draws its inspiration from decision theory and market based mechanisms. It then goes into deeper detail by looking at the implications of having to face risks （a） where some kind of probabilistic de*ion is available and （b） where none is available， using the example of insurable risks vs non-insurable risks. Again， by using real-world examples it shows how decision-makers can cope with such situations by a proper understanding and use of modern financial techniques.

暂缺《风险与未来的经济学与财政》作者简介

Acknowledgements
General Introduction
Financial assets
Risks
Uncertainty and precaution
Problems: new methods and new instruments
Presentation of the book
PART I: INDIVIDUAL vs COLLECTIVE CHOICE Introduction to Part I
　1 Risks in a Public Project: The Millau Viaduct
　2 Individual Valuations and Economic Rationality
　　2.1 Preferences on consequences and utilities of decisions
　　2.2 Decisions, acts and contingent assets
　　2.3 Criterion and individual valuation: averaging
　　2.4 A simple decision theoretic model
　　2.5 A general criterion of individual valuation
　　2.6 The two main criteria for decision-making in front of a known probability distribution: Paradoxes and limitations
　3 Aggregation of Individual Choices
　　3.1 Public choices
　　3.2 Market aggregation of individual preferences
　4 Individual and Collective Risk Management Instruments
　　4.1 Decision trees
　　4.2 Optimisation under constraints: mathematical programming
　　4.3 Risk and cost–benefit analysis
　Concluding comments on Part I
PART II: RISK vs UNCERTAINTY
　Introduction to Part II
　5 Insurable and Uninsurable Risks
　　5.1 Insurance of risks with a known probability distribution
　　5.2 Insurance of risks with uncertainties
　　5.3 Non-insurable risks
　6 Risk Economics
　　6.1 Laws of large numbers and the principles of insurance
　　6.2 Risk aversion and applications to the demand for insurance 1
　　6.3 Background risk
　　6.4 Risk measures: variance and Value at Risk
　　6.5 Stochastic dominance
　　6.6 Aversion to risk increases
　　6.7 Asymmetric information: moral hazard and adverse selection
　7 Marketed Risks
　　7.1 A general theory of risk measurement
　　7.2 Applications to risk valuation
　8 Management Instruments for Risk and for Uncertainty
　　8.1 Choosing optimal insurance
　　8.2 Insurance claims securitisation
　　8.3 Valuing controversial risks
　Concluding comments on Part II
PART III: STATIC vs DYNAMIC
　Introduction to Part III
　9 Risk Businesses
　　9.1 Lotteries and the gambling business
　　9.2 Risks and investments
　　9.3 Credit risk
　10 Valuation without Flexibilities
　　10.1 The net present value
　　10.2 Discounting
　　10.3 Static models of financial market equilibrium pricing
　　10.4 The value at risk
　11 Valuation with Options
　　11.1 General theory of a dynamic measure of risks
　　11.2 Applications to risk valuation
　12 Static and Dynamic Risk Instruments
　　12.1 Static risk management instruments
　　12.2 Managing flexibilities
　Concluding comments on Part III
General Conclusion
　1 How to deal with controversies
　2 Look for market valuation
　3 Measuring time
References
Index