China Agricultural Sector Development Report 中文书

　　《中国农业产业发展报告2020（英文版）》是继2020年中文版推出的外文版本，突出战略导向、定量分析的特点，基于统计数据和中国农业产业模型（CASM）等前沿研究方法，从农业—食物系统的视角对中国农业产业竞争力以及新冠肺炎疫情、生猪产能恢复和草地贪夜蛾等热点问题产生的影响进行深入分析和评估，对谷物、油料、畜产品、水产品等18个农业产业发展的新形势进行研判。《中国农业产业发展报告2020》共分为四个部分。第一部分宏观形势，回顾与展望国内外宏观经济和农业产业走势，回顾2019年发生的重大事件。第二部分是竞争力分析，从全要素生产率、国际贸易和生产成本等三个角度剖析中国农业产业竞争力。第三部分是热点主题，全面分析新冠肺炎疫情对中国农业和农民收入的影响，评估生猪产能恢复趋势及其主要影响因素，模拟草地贪夜蛾对2020年中国玉米产业带来的影响。第四部分是产业前瞻，总结2019年18种重要农产品的产业发展特征，展望未来两年的产业发展趋势。

　　中国农业科学院，成立于1957年，是国家综合性农业科研机构，担负着全国农业重大基础与应用基础研究、应用研究和高新技术研究的任务，致力于解决我国农业及农村经济发展中基础性、方向性、全局性、关键性的重大科技问题，在推动农业科技创新、服务地方经济、培养高层次科研人才、促进国际科技交流合作等方面发挥重要作用。

PART Ⅰ MACRO SITUATION
Chapter 1 Macroeconomics: Review and Outlook
1.1 World's Macroeconomic Trends in 2019 and Outlook in 2020
1.2 China's Macroeconomic Trends in 2019 and Outlook in 2020
Chapter 2 Agricultural Industry: Review and Outlook
2.1 Trends of the World Agricultural Industry in 2019 and Outlook in 2020
2.2 Trends of Chinese Agricultural Industry in 2019 and Outlook in 2020
Chapter 3 Review of Significant Events
3.1 China-US Trade Tensions Ongoing
3.2 African Swine Fever Epidemic Spread
3.3 Fall Armyworm Invasion
3.4 5G Tech Energized Intelligent Agriculture
3.5 Blockchain Tech Achieved Ratification
3.6 Construction of Agricultural Brand Catalogue System Launch
PART Ⅱ COMPETITIVENESS OF THE AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRY
Chapter 4 Trade CompetiUveness of China's Agriculture
4.1 Measures of Trade Competitiveness
4.2 International Comparative Analysis of China's Agricultural Trade Competitiveness
4.3 International Comparative Analysis of Trade Competitiveness of China's Major Agricultural Products
4.4 Conclusions
Chapter 5 Competitiveness of China's Agricultural Industry from the Perspective of Cost
5.1 Cost-Benefit Comparison of Agricultural Products
5.2 Cost-Benefit Evolution of Agricultural Products
5.3 Cost-Benefit Comparison of Agricultural Products with Foreign Countries
Chapter 6 The Competitiveness of China's Agricultural Sector from the Efficiency Perspective
6.1 Research Method
6.2 Data Description
6.3 Results and Analysis
6.4 Policy Recommendations
PART Ⅲ HOT ISSUES
Chapter 7 The Impact of COVID-19 on China's Agriculture and Farmers' Income
7.1 The Introduction
7.2 Methodology: Social Accounting Matrix Multiplier Analysis Method
7.3 Analysis of Impact Pathway of Agricultural Value Chain and Multiplier Effect
7.4 Simulation Analysis of the Impact of the COVID-19 on Agriculture and the Income of Urban and Rural Residents
7.5 Main Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
Chapter 8 Pig Productivity Recovery and its Main Influencing Factors
8.1 Judgment of Capacity Recovery Trend
8.2 Analysis of Factors Influencing Pig Productivity Recovery Based on CASM
8.3 Policy Recommendations
Chapter 9 Impact of Fall Armyworm （Spodoptera frugiperda） China's Corn Industry in 2020
9.1 The Status Quo of the Influence Imposed by FAW on China's Corn
9.2 Settings for Simulation of the Influence of FAW on China's Corn supply and Demand in 2020
9.3 Simulation Results
9.4 Policy Implications
PART Ⅳ PROJECTIONS
Chapter 10 Grain Industry
10.1 New Trends of Industrial Development in 2019
10.2 Judgment of Supply and Demand Situation in 2020-2021
10.3 Analysis of Total Factor Productivity
10.4 Analysis of Trade Competitiveness
Chapter 11 Oil Crops Industry
11.1 New Trends of Industrial Development in 2019
11.2 Judgment of Supply and Demand Situation in 2020-2021
11.3 Analysis of Total Factor Productivity
11.4 Analysis of Trade Competitiveness
Chapter 12 Other Important Agricultural Products Industry
12.1 New Trends of Industrial Development in 2019
12.2 Judgment of Supply and Demand Situation in 2020-2021
12.3 Analysis of Total Factor Productivity
12.4 Analysis of Trade Competitiveness
Chapter 13 Livestock and Aquatic Products Industry
13.1 New Trends of Industrial Development in 2019
13.2 Judgment of Supply and Demand Situation in 2020-2021
13.3 Analysis of Total Factor Productivity
13.4 Analysis of Trade Competitiveness
APPENDIX Agricultural Outlook 2020-2035