当心！气候、水以及天气预警系统

　　本书讨论气候、水以及天气预警系统。今天世界上有许多运作着的预警系统在为公众、政府和企业提供有关天灾人祸的预警信息，其中主要是有关气候、水与天气的紧急灾害预警信息。不分国家与地区、不论贫富，当今全球各地均有许多灾害和潜在威胁比人们所预想的要早得多的发生了，如极地冰盖加速缩小、全球变暖——暖冬炎夏频发，海平面增长，沿海陆地缩小，城市污染与热岛效应，干旱、土壤荒漠化，森林大火，洪水，飓风、龙卷风，传染病，厄尔尼诺等等，这其中有气候与人类活动交互作用的效果。探究天灾人祸的幕后原因和规律，构筑有用、可用、可信和可靠的灾害预警系统能够极大地帮助和保护人类。

暂缺《当心！气候、水以及天气预警系统》作者简介

1　Introduction
Interest in Early Warning
The Precautionary Principle as an Early Warning
The Future Has Arrived Earlier Than Predicted
What Constitutes an Early Warning System?
　Threats
　Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Constraints Assessment
　Perception of the Role of EWSs
　The Reality of the Role of EWSs
　Surprises
　Early Warning System FAQs
　Forecast Warning Terminology
　Geographic Information Systems
2　Climate, Water and Weather Related Hazards
　Hurricanes
　Severe Winter Storms
　Superstorm '93: North America and the Caribbean
　Are Seasons of Superstorms a Possibility?
　Heat Waves
　European Heat Wave 2003
　Tornadoes
　Nor'easters
　El NiSo-Southern Oscillation
　Vector-Borne Disease
　Severe Weather
　Fire Danger Index
　Anatomy of Australian Bush Fires
　Air Pollution in Metropolitan Areas
　Dust and Sandstorm Early Warning
3　Too Much, Too Little
　Floods
　China's 1998 Great Yangtze River Floods
　Flash Floods
　Thunderstorms
　Drought
　NOAA's Palmer Drought Severity Index
　Drought in Africa
　Australia Monitoring for Drought Early Warning
　Drought in Latin America
4　Global Warming
　Global Warming
　The Polar Regions: A "plate" as an Early Warning about Global Warming
　Coral Reef Bleaching
　Sea-Level Rise
　Integrated Vector Management
5　Earth Hazards
　Tsunamis
　Indian Ocean Tsunami 2004
　Volcano Early Warning Systems
　Space Weather
　U.S. Ultraviolet Forecasts
6 Concluding Thoughts
Foreseeability of Hazards
Lessons Learned about "Lessons Learned",
References
Essential References for Early Warning Systems